Swiss Super League Round 14

Zurich vs Luzern analysis

Zurich Luzern
82 ELO 77
-4.9% Tilt 25.7%
286º General ELO ranking 283º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
50.4%
Zurich
24.5%
Draw
25.1%
Luzern

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
Zurich
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
25.2%
Win probability
Luzern
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Zurich
-5%
-6%
Luzern

ELO progression

Zurich
Luzern
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Zurich
Zurich
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Oct. 2014
ZUR
Zurich
1 - 1
St. Gallen
STG
54%
24%
22%
82 77 5 0
23 Oct. 2014
VIL
Villarreal
4 - 1
Zurich
ZUR
56%
22%
22%
83 87 4 -1
19 Oct. 2014
GCZ
Grasshopper
1 - 3
Zurich
ZUR
32%
25%
43%
83 80 3 0
05 Oct. 2014
ZUR
Zurich
3 - 0
FC Vaduz
FCV
61%
23%
17%
82 71 11 +1
02 Oct. 2014
ZUR
Zurich
1 - 1
B. Mönchengladbach
MON
31%
26%
43%
82 87 5 0

Matches

Luzern
Luzern
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Oct. 2014
FCL
Luzern
1 - 2
Aarau
FCA
49%
25%
26%
77 71 6 0
19 Oct. 2014
FCL
Luzern
0 - 0
FC Vaduz
FCV
53%
25%
22%
78 71 7 -1
05 Oct. 2014
SIO
Sion
3 - 1
Luzern
FCL
32%
26%
43%
78 76 2 0
28 Sep. 2014
FCL
Luzern
1 - 2
St. Gallen
STG
42%
27%
31%
78 78 0 0
23 Sep. 2014
THU
Thun
3 - 2
Luzern
FCL
40%
25%
35%
79 78 1 -1