Swiss Super League Round 2

Zurich vs Luzern analysis

Zurich Luzern
82 ELO 72
-3.4% Tilt 11%
274º General ELO ranking 275º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
63.9%
Zurich
21.4%
Draw
14.7%
Luzern

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
Zurich
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
14.7%
Win probability
Luzern
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Zurich
-4%
-7%
Luzern

ELO progression

Zurich
Luzern
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Zurich
Zurich
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Jul. 2008
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
1 - 2
Zurich
ZUR
34%
26%
40%
82 75 7 0
10 May. 2008
THU
Thun
1 - 1
Zurich
ZUR
24%
26%
51%
82 69 13 0
07 May. 2008
ZUR
Zurich
1 - 0
St. Gallen
STG
61%
22%
17%
82 73 9 0
02 May. 2008
BAS
Basel
4 - 0
Zurich
ZUR
54%
23%
23%
82 85 3 0
27 Apr. 2008
ZUR
Zurich
1 - 0
Luzern
FCL
62%
22%
16%
82 73 9 0

Matches

Luzern
Luzern
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Jul. 2008
FCL
Luzern
1 - 2
FC Vaduz
FCV
60%
23%
18%
73 65 8 0
10 May. 2008
FCL
Luzern
0 - 2
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
47%
26%
27%
73 74 1 0
07 May. 2008
FCA
Aarau
2 - 1
Luzern
FCL
48%
26%
27%
73 73 0 0
03 May. 2008
FCL
Luzern
4 - 0
Thun
THU
50%
26%
24%
73 71 2 0
27 Apr. 2008
ZUR
Zurich
1 - 0
Luzern
FCL
62%
22%
16%
73 82 9 0