Zurich vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1999 |
ZUR
0 - 1
LUG
68%
19%
13%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1999 |
ZUR
2 - 2
NEX
47%
25%
28%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1999 |
SER
1 - 1
ZUR
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1999 |
BAS
1 - 0
ZUR
34%
26%
40%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1999 |
ZUR
0 - 1
GCZ
41%
26%
33%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1999 |
FCL
2 - 1
SER
27%
27%
46%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1999 |
NEX
1 - 1
FCL
68%
19%
13%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1999 |
STG
0 - 2
FCL
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1999 |
FCL
0 - 1
LAU
24%
25%
52%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1999 |
GCZ
4 - 0
FCL
81%
13%
7%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |