Zurich vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
36.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
2º
6º
2º
65
2º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 12 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
60 | 12 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 7 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 7 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
65 | 6 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 0 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Champions league qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2024 |
ZUR
2 - 1
SER
42%
25%
34%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
WIN
1 - 3
ZUR
36%
25%
39%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ZUR
0 - 2
YOB
42%
25%
34%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ZUR
0 - 1
STG
43%
24%
34%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
LAU
1 - 0
ZUR
27%
26%
47%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2024 |
LUG
4 - 2
WIN
50%
24%
26%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
YOB
0 - 1
LUG
45%
23%
32%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
LUG
0 - 1
STG
40%
25%
35%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SIO
0 - 2
LUG
24%
23%
54%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
LUG
2 - 0
LAU
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | +1 |