Zurich vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.8%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.3%
6.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1983 |
FCL
0 - 2
ZUR
32%
27%
41%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1983 |
ZUR
2 - 1
BUL
89%
9%
3%
|
85 | 54 | 31 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1983 |
ZUR
2 - 0
YOB
71%
17%
12%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1983 |
SER
2 - 3
ZUR
57%
23%
21%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1983 |
ZUR
2 - 2
FCA
80%
12%
8%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1983 |
FCA
1 - 5
SIO
54%
23%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1983 |
BAS
2 - 1
FCA
70%
18%
13%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1983 |
NEX
4 - 1
FCA
72%
16%
13%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 1983 |
FCA
3 - 0
WIN
71%
18%
12%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 May. 1983 |
ZUR
2 - 2
FCA
80%
12%
8%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |