Swiss Super League Normal Season Round 5

Zurich vs Basel analysis

Zurich Basel
78 ELO 80
-7.9% Tilt -10.7%
274º General ELO ranking 235º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
39.3%
Zurich
26.1%
Draw
34.6%
Basel

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
Zurich
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
34.6%
Win probability
Basel
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Zurich
-2%
+17%
Basel

ELO progression

Zurich
Basel
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Zurich
Zurich
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jul. 2001
YOB
Young Boys
1 - 1
Zurich
ZUR
44%
26%
31%
78 72 6 0
18 Jul. 2001
LAU
Lausanne Sports
1 - 1
Zurich
ZUR
59%
23%
19%
78 80 2 0
14 Jul. 2001
ZUR
Zurich
3 - 2
St. Gallen
STG
35%
26%
39%
78 81 3 0
07 Jul. 2001
SER
Servette
0 - 2
Zurich
ZUR
59%
23%
18%
78 81 3 0
26 May. 2001
ZUR
Zurich
1 - 2
Lausanne Sports
LAU
37%
25%
38%
79 81 2 -1

Matches

Basel
Basel
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Jul. 2001
BAS
Basel
3 - 0
Lausanne Sports
LAU
55%
21%
24%
80 80 0 0
21 Jul. 2001
SCH
Heerenveen
2 - 3
Basel
BAS
53%
23%
24%
79 79 0 +1
18 Jul. 2001
STG
St. Gallen
3 - 3
Basel
BAS
54%
24%
23%
79 81 2 0
14 Jul. 2001
BAS
Basel
2 - 1
Heerenveen
SCH
55%
22%
24%
79 80 1 0
11 Jul. 2001
BAS
Basel
3 - 1
Servette
SER
50%
24%
27%
78 80 2 +1