Zurich vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
31.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 1994 |
FCA
3 - 0
ZUR
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 1994 |
ZUR
1 - 1
LAU
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1994 |
ZUR
2 - 2
SCH
59%
23%
19%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1994 |
NEX
1 - 0
ZUR
50%
27%
23%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1994 |
ZUR
2 - 0
YVE
66%
21%
14%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 1994 |
LAU
2 - 1
BAS
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 1994 |
BAS
0 - 1
LUG
65%
20%
15%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -2 |
| 10 May. 1994 |
KRI
0 - 1
BAS
31%
26%
44%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1994 |
BAS
3 - 0
STG
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1994 |
ETO
1 - 1
BAS
23%
24%
53%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |