Zmaj Makarska vs Urania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
22.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zmaj Makarska
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
JUN
3 - 1
MAK
71%
18%
11%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
MAK
0 - 2
KAM
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
HNK
0 - 1
MAK
63%
19%
19%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
MAK
1 - 1
USK
36%
23%
41%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
JAD
1 - 0
MAK
61%
20%
19%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Urania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
UBV
0 - 3
NER
18%
20%
62%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
NER
3 - 2
UBV
60%
21%
19%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
JUN
4 - 0
UBV
74%
17%
9%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
UBV
1 - 1
KAM
44%
24%
33%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
HNK
1 - 0
UBV
65%
18%
17%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |