Zimbabwe vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
40.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zimbabwe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
BWA
0 - 1
ZWE
23%
26%
51%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
ZWE
0 - 1
MLI
28%
27%
45%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
BFA
3 - 1
ZWE
56%
23%
20%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
CMR
1 - 0
ZWE
59%
25%
16%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2020 |
ZWE
2 - 2
DZA
25%
28%
48%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
ZMB
3 - 3
DZA
29%
27%
44%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
MAR
3 - 1
ZMB
70%
19%
11%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
NAM
0 - 0
ZMB
23%
26%
51%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
ZMB
1 - 1
GIN
49%
24%
26%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2021 |
ZMB
2 - 0
TZA
72%
18%
10%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |