Q. Europa League 3rd Round Final
Global 2-2
Zeta vs Sarajevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
40.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zeta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2012 |
SAR
2 - 1
ZET
67%
19%
14%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
ZET
1 - 0
JJK
46%
23%
31%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2012 |
JJK
3 - 2
ZET
46%
24%
30%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2012 |
ZET
1 - 2
PYU
52%
24%
25%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
PYU
0 - 3
ZET
54%
23%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
SAR
0 - 0
ČEL
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2012 |
SAR
2 - 1
ZET
67%
19%
14%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
SAR
3 - 1
LSO
46%
24%
30%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2012 |
LSO
1 - 0
SAR
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2012 |
HIB
4 - 4
SAR
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |