Zestafoni II vs Gagra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
45.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zestafoni II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2006 |
MEA
3 - 1
ZES
65%
20%
15%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
ZES
0 - 2
NOR
55%
24%
21%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2006 |
MER
0 - 1
ZES
39%
26%
36%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2006 |
ZES
0 - 0
DIN
34%
28%
38%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2006 |
CHI
2 - 2
ZES
35%
26%
39%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2006 |
GAG
0 - 0
MES
40%
27%
33%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
MEA
0 - 3
GAG
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2006 |
GAG
4 - 0
GUR
58%
24%
18%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2006 |
NOR
3 - 2
GAG
28%
26%
46%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2006 |
GAG
0 - 1
WIT
50%
26%
24%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |