Europa League Eliminatorias. 1/16

Global 4-0

Zenit vs PSV analysis

Zenit PSV
84 ELO 83
1.5% Tilt 8%
171º General ELO ranking 75º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
45.4%
Zenit
23.7%
Draw
30.9%
PSV

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
Zenit
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
30.9%
Win probability
PSV
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO progression

Zenit
PSV
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Zenit
Zenit
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Feb. 2015
PSV
PSV
0 - 1
Zenit
ZEN
46%
24%
30%
84 83 1 0
27 Jan. 2015
WAR
Legia Warszawa
2 - 3
Zenit
ZEN
34%
25%
42%
84 77 7 0
21 Jan. 2015
ALS
Al Shahaniya
0 - 4
Zenit
ZEN
14%
20%
66%
84 54 30 0
18 Jan. 2015
ZEN
Zenit
4 - 1
Al-Wakrah
WAK
77%
16%
8%
84 60 24 0
09 Dec. 2014
MON
Monaco
2 - 0
Zenit
ZEN
34%
25%
41%
84 83 1 0

Matches

PSV
PSV
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Feb. 2015
PSV
PSV
3 - 0
Dordrecht
FCD
79%
15%
7%
83 58 25 0
19 Feb. 2015
PSV
PSV
0 - 1
Zenit
ZEN
46%
24%
30%
83 84 1 0
13 Feb. 2015
AZA
AZ Alkmaar
2 - 4
PSV
PSV
37%
25%
39%
83 80 3 0
07 Feb. 2015
PSV
PSV
3 - 1
Utrecht
UTR
67%
20%
14%
83 73 10 0
03 Feb. 2015
NAC
NAC Breda
0 - 2
PSV
PSV
15%
21%
64%
82 66 16 +1
X