Q. Europa League Tercera Ronda. Final
Global 8-5
Zenit vs Dinamo Minsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
16.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zenit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2018 |
FCR
0 - 1
ZEN
34%
27%
39%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2018 |
DNM
4 - 0
ZEN
28%
27%
45%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
ZEN
1 - 0
ARS
66%
20%
15%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
YEN
0 - 2
ZEN
21%
25%
54%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
INT
3 - 3
ZEN
60%
22%
18%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Dinamo Minsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
DNM
2 - 0
MIN
58%
24%
18%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2018 |
DNM
4 - 0
ZEN
28%
27%
45%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2018 |
DNM
4 - 1
DAC
40%
28%
32%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
BSA
0 - 7
DNM
3%
9%
88%
|
78 | 38 | 40 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
DAC
1 - 3
DNM
42%
28%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |