Zenit Penza vs FK Orel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
20.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+96%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
1º
13º
13º
9
8º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
18 | 59 |
1º
|
49.5% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 52 |
2º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 50 |
3º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 48 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 46 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 45 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 42 |
7º
|
9% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 41 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 41 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 39 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
|
8º
|
9 | 34 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 29 |
12º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
6 | 28 |
13º
|
20% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 19 |
14º
|
27% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 17 |
15º
|
41% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
91.5% | 96.5% |
|
Relegation
|
8.5% | 3% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zenit Penza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SAL
1 - 1
ZEN
76%
16%
8%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ZEN
0 - 1
ZVE
34%
24%
41%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
FKK
1 - 1
ZEN
72%
16%
13%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ZEN
3 - 1
KOL
53%
22%
25%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
FKK
1 - 1
ZEN
59%
20%
21%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
FK Orel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ORE
1 - 0
SPA
30%
22%
48%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
KPP
3 - 2
ORE
82%
11%
7%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
ORE
1 - 2
KHI
19%
20%
61%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
FDV
1 - 0
ORE
72%
17%
12%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
LOK
2 - 0
ORE
90%
8%
3%
|
23 | 50 | 27 | -1 |