Zenit Penza vs Arsenal Tula II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
44.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
10º
12º
10º
33
2º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 25 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 24 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 19 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 17 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 13 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 13 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
24 | 12 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 11 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zenit Penza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
STR
1 - 0
ZEN
68%
18%
14%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
ZEN
0 - 1
SAK
40%
24%
37%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
FPP
1 - 0
ZEN
57%
20%
23%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
ZEN
1 - 0
DIN
28%
24%
48%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
ZEN
1 - 3
KHI
25%
23%
52%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal Tula II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
ARS
2 - 0
KHI
27%
23%
51%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
SKA
2 - 0
ARS
33%
22%
46%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
ARS
0 - 1
BAL
77%
14%
9%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
ZEN
1 - 1
ARS
52%
22%
26%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2023 |
ARS
2 - 0
BAL
63%
19%
18%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |