Europa League . 1/64
Global 0-1
Željeznicar vs Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
38.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Željeznicar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
KOZ
0 - 0
ZEL
9%
21%
70%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
ZEL
1 - 0
MLA
87%
10%
3%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
GLA
0 - 1
ZEL
23%
26%
51%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2002 |
NEW
4 - 0
ZEL
72%
18%
11%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
ZEL
2 - 0
ČEL
57%
21%
22%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
MAL
2 - 1
RAY
51%
24%
25%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
EXT
1 - 1
MAL
21%
25%
54%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
REC
2 - 3
MAL
29%
28%
44%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2002 |
MAL
1 - 1
VIL
59%
23%
18%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2002 |
VIL
0 - 1
MAL
44%
26%
30%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | +1 |