Željeznicar vs FK Tuzla City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
21.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
2º
8º
3º
37
1º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Željeznicar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
VEL
1 - 0
ZEL
50%
24%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
LEO
1 - 0
ZEL
18%
27%
55%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
ZEL
4 - 1
SLO
68%
21%
12%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
ZVI
2 - 3
ZEL
14%
20%
67%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SLO
0 - 1
ZEL
20%
25%
55%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
FK Tuzla City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
SLO
0 - 3
ZRI
34%
26%
40%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
SLO
2 - 2
BBL
33%
29%
39%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
SIR
1 - 1
SLO
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
RUD
0 - 2
SLO
15%
20%
65%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
BBL
3 - 0
SLO
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |