Zaramaga vs Alegría analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
46.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zaramaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2022 |
MKE
1 - 1
ZAR
25%
21%
53%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
HAU
0 - 8
ZAR
22%
20%
58%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
ZAR
0 - 1
CDS
38%
23%
39%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
CFR
1 - 1
ZAR
19%
21%
61%
|
12 | 6 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
ZAR
2 - 1
CDL
42%
23%
35%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Alegría
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2022 |
ALE
2 - 1
HAU
84%
11%
5%
|
14 | 5 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
CFR
0 - 5
ALE
11%
16%
73%
|
14 | 5 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
ALE
2 - 2
ARI
29%
22%
49%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
TOR
2 - 4
ALE
43%
22%
36%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
ALE
4 - 1
ADC
42%
21%
37%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |