Zanaco vs Red Arrows analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
16.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zanaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
GRE
0 - 1
ZAN
48%
28%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
ZAN
3 - 0
LIM
55%
23%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
ROA
0 - 0
ZAN
48%
27%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
ZAN
2 - 3
KON
59%
24%
18%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
ZAN
2 - 1
ZES
57%
24%
19%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Red Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
RED
1 - 0
KAB
53%
26%
21%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
RED
0 - 0
NCH
54%
25%
21%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
LEO
0 - 1
RED
50%
28%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
RED
1 - 1
POW
53%
26%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 0
RED
44%
30%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |