Segunda B Playoffs . Quarter-finals
Global 5-3
Zamora vs Villanovense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
32.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zamora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
CAU
0 - 1
ZAM
56%
24%
20%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
ZAM
1 - 0
CDO
55%
24%
22%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
RVB
1 - 1
ZAM
39%
27%
34%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ZAM
0 - 0
MAR
67%
20%
13%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
SLA
1 - 1
ZAM
72%
18%
11%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Villanovense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
MEL
1 - 1
VIL
56%
24%
20%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 2
ROD
48%
27%
26%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
ARR
2 - 2
VIL
39%
26%
35%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
VIL
0 - 0
CAR
24%
28%
47%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
SEV
2 - 0
VIL
54%
23%
23%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |