Zalgiris Vilnius vs Pafos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
31.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
ZAL
1 - 0
VAA
50%
23%
28%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
VAA
1 - 2
ZAL
40%
24%
36%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
KZA
1 - 0
ZAL
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
HLI
3 - 1
ZAL
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
BAN
0 - 2
ZAL
20%
24%
56%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Pafos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
PAF
2 - 5
ELF
39%
24%
37%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
ELF
3 - 0
PAF
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
OMO
0 - 3
PAF
45%
25%
31%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
PAF
1 - 1
OMO
47%
25%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ARI
1 - 1
PAF
41%
26%
32%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |