Zalgiris Vilnius vs FK Jonava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.7%
15%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
5.7%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
LUD
1 - 0
ZAL
49%
23%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
TRA
1 - 5
ZAL
21%
25%
55%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
ZAL
1 - 1
BOG
24%
24%
52%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
ZAL
2 - 1
BAN
77%
17%
6%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
BOG
5 - 0
ZAL
65%
19%
16%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
FK Jonava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
LIE
0 - 2
HLI
12%
19%
70%
|
45 | 70 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
LIE
1 - 2
KZA
11%
20%
69%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
DTE
2 - 2
LIE
54%
24%
23%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
LIE
0 - 1
HLI
12%
22%
66%
|
45 | 69 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
LIE
1 - 3
FAS
22%
24%
54%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | -1 |