Zalgiris Vilnius vs FC Hegelmann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
18.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
SUD
0 - 5
ZAL
30%
27%
43%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2022 |
ZAL
2 - 1
DTE
78%
16%
6%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
PAN
0 - 2
ZAL
32%
25%
43%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
ZAL
1 - 2
KZA
59%
23%
19%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2022 |
NEP
0 - 1
ZAL
12%
17%
71%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
FC Hegelmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
TRA
0 - 3
HLI
36%
28%
36%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2022 |
HLI
2 - 2
SUD
27%
26%
46%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2022 |
BAN
1 - 0
HLI
19%
25%
56%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2022 |
BFA
0 - 6
HLI
7%
14%
79%
|
68 | 42 | 26 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
HLI
2 - 0
DTE
64%
22%
14%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |