Zalgiris Vilnius vs FC Hegelmann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11.3%
3-0
15.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
18.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.2%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
<0%
+1
21.8%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.8%
3.1%
Win probability
0.31
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
ZAL
2 - 0
TRA
71%
19%
10%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
ZAL
2 - 2
DAI
82%
13%
5%
|
77 | 49 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
ZAL
3 - 0
TRA
72%
17%
11%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
ZAL
1 - 3
TRA
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
ZAL
4 - 2
NEV
76%
16%
9%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
FC Hegelmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
SUD
2 - 0
HLI
79%
16%
5%
|
51 | 77 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
DTE
2 - 1
HLI
43%
27%
31%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
HLI
3 - 0
FAS
48%
24%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
HLI
1 - 0
DAI
40%
24%
36%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
HLI
2 - 1
LIE
46%
25%
30%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |