Zalgiris Vilnius vs Dziugas Telsiai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
17.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
3º
8º
5º
34
1º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 61 |
1º
|
92% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 54 |
2º
|
84% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 47 |
3º
|
62% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 43 |
4º
|
36% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 42 |
5º
|
32% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 41 |
6º
|
30.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 39 |
7º
|
29% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 36 |
8º
|
66% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 21 |
9º
|
53.5% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 18 |
10º
|
53.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
8% | 3% |
|
Mid-table
|
92% | 97% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2025 |
HAM
2 - 0
ZAL
22%
22%
56%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2025 |
ZAL
2 - 0
HAM
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2025 |
ZAL
1 - 0
BAN
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
PAN
2 - 4
ZAL
36%
27%
37%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2025 |
ZAL
0 - 1
HLI
41%
25%
34%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Dziugas Telsiai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
DTE
0 - 0
BAN
39%
29%
33%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
DAI
0 - 2
DTE
39%
28%
34%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
FAS
5 - 0
DTE
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2025 |
DTE
2 - 1
TRA
35%
28%
37%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2025 |
DTE
0 - 1
BAN
36%
29%
36%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |