1. HNL Relegation Play-offs Round 1

NK Zagreb vs Zadar analysis

NK Zagreb Zadar
76 ELO 68
2.4% Tilt -1.9%
22196º General ELO ranking 22198º
102º Country ELO ranking 104º
ELO win probability
66.5%
NK Zagreb
19.6%
Draw
13.9%
Zadar

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
NK Zagreb
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
13.9%
Win probability
Zadar
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

NK Zagreb
Zadar
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

NK Zagreb
NK Zagreb
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Mar. 1999
HDR
Hrvatski Dragovoljac
3 - 2
NK Zagreb
ZAG
42%
27%
32%
76 74 2 0
14 Mar. 1999
ZAG
NK Zagreb
1 - 2
Dinamo Zagreb
DZG
37%
26%
37%
76 85 9 0
07 Mar. 1999
ZAD
Zadar
1 - 1
NK Zagreb
ZAG
39%
27%
35%
77 69 8 -1
28 Feb. 1999
ZAG
NK Zagreb
3 - 2
HNK Sibenik
HNS
66%
20%
14%
76 69 7 +1
21 Feb. 1999
HKS
HNK Hajduk Split
1 - 0
NK Zagreb
ZAG
68%
19%
13%
77 84 7 -1

Matches

Zadar
Zadar
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Mar. 1999
ZAD
Zadar
0 - 0
HNK Sibenik
HNS
49%
25%
26%
69 70 1 0
14 Mar. 1999
HKS
HNK Hajduk Split
2 - 0
Zadar
ZAD
77%
15%
8%
69 84 15 0
07 Mar. 1999
ZAD
Zadar
1 - 1
NK Zagreb
ZAG
39%
27%
35%
69 77 8 0
28 Feb. 1999
RIJ
HNK Rijeka
4 - 1
Zadar
ZAD
62%
22%
16%
70 79 9 -1
21 Feb. 1999
ZAD
Zadar
5 - 3
NK Varazdin
NKV
36%
28%
36%
69 76 7 +1