Zafranar A vs C.D. Apolo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
59.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zafranar A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
ZAF
2 - 4
JUV
11%
18%
71%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
CLU
3 - 1
ZAF
32%
23%
45%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
ZAF
0 - 1
UNI
18%
20%
61%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
MIS
6 - 1
ZAF
64%
19%
18%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
ZAF
1 - 6
ALA
54%
21%
25%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
C.D. Apolo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
APO
3 - 2
CLU
77%
14%
9%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
UNI
3 - 1
APO
65%
19%
16%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
APO
1 - 2
MIS
51%
22%
27%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
ALA
3 - 1
APO
39%
23%
38%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
APO
0 - 1
ALX
39%
22%
40%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |