Zacatepec vs Murciélagos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zacatepec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
CAÑ
2 - 1
TIG
29%
28%
43%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
CIM
0 - 0
CAÑ
39%
28%
34%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
CAÑ
3 - 0
ATL
48%
26%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2017 |
CAÑ
1 - 1
CAZ
25%
26%
49%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
TAM
0 - 0
CAÑ
31%
28%
41%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Murciélagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
MUR
3 - 0
CAF
32%
27%
41%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
MUR
0 - 1
MER
42%
27%
32%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
CIM
0 - 1
MUR
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +2 |
| 19 Jul. 2017 |
MUR
2 - 1
AME
11%
19%
71%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
UAT
2 - 0
MUR
57%
23%
21%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |