Yverdon vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
64.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
6º
10º
10º
40
6º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yverdon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
RAP
1 - 0
YVE
15%
18%
67%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
WIN
1 - 1
YVE
43%
25%
32%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
YVE
4 - 1
SER
18%
22%
61%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
FCH
0 - 9
YVE
3%
7%
90%
|
66 | 7 | 59 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
LUG
6 - 1
YVE
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FCB
0 - 8
BAS
3%
10%
87%
|
82 | 14 | 68 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
BAS
2 - 2
ZUR
49%
23%
28%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
FCS
1 - 8
BAS
3%
10%
87%
|
82 | 7 | 75 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
BAS
1 - 2
LAU
74%
17%
9%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
GCZ
3 - 1
BAS
23%
23%
55%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |