Ypiranga FC vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
16.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ypiranga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 2
YPI
9%
17%
75%
|
68 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
YPI
1 - 1
BOT
60%
24%
16%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 0
YPI
42%
30%
28%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
FLO
2 - 0
YPI
13%
26%
62%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
YPI
2 - 0
BRU
56%
24%
19%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CAX
2 - 1
GRE
9%
19%
73%
|
63 | 90 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
FER
1 - 0
CAX
42%
29%
29%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
CAX
1 - 1
FER
51%
27%
23%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
POR
0 - 1
CAX
52%
26%
21%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
CAX
1 - 1
POR
45%
29%
26%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |