York City vs Bristol Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
16.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
PLY
2 - 0
YOR
34%
27%
39%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
ROC
2 - 3
YOR
44%
26%
31%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
YOR
0 - 2
GUL
50%
26%
24%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
POR
2 - 2
YOR
54%
24%
21%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2012 |
AFC
4 - 3
YOR
35%
25%
40%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Bristol Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
BRO
0 - 1
DAG
38%
25%
37%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
WYC
2 - 0
BRO
60%
22%
19%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
BRO
3 - 3
BRA
37%
27%
36%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2012 |
POR
4 - 0
BRO
68%
20%
13%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
ROC
2 - 1
BRO
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |