Yau Tsim vs Lucky Mile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yau Tsim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
YTS
4 - 1
KWU
82%
13%
5%
|
48 | 23 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
SHA
3 - 3
YTS
27%
23%
50%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
LUC
0 - 5
YTS
30%
24%
46%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
DOU
0 - 0
YTS
23%
22%
55%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
YTS
2 - 1
CAA
37%
24%
39%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Lucky Mile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
MGS
2 - 0
LUC
59%
22%
20%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
LUC
1 - 4
CAA
21%
22%
57%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | -2 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
SHS
1 - 0
LUC
67%
18%
15%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
LUC
0 - 5
YTS
30%
24%
46%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -2 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
WIN
3 - 4
LUC
68%
18%
14%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |