Paulista A2 Normal Season Round 11

XV de Piracicaba vs São Bernardo FC analysis

XV de Piracicaba São Bernardo FC
63 ELO 60
-11.6% Tilt -17.8%
3376º General ELO ranking 635º
92º Country ELO ranking 38º
ELO win probability
53.4%
XV de Piracicaba
24.8%
Draw
21.8%
São Bernardo FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
XV de Piracicaba
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
21.8%
Win probability
São Bernardo FC
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
XV de Piracicaba
-2%
-10%
São Bernardo FC

ELO progression

XV de Piracicaba
São Bernardo FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

XV de Piracicaba
XV de Piracicaba
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 May. 2021
RBB
RB Brasil
0 - 0
XV de Piracicaba
XVD
31%
26%
43%
64 57 7 0
29 Apr. 2021
XVD
XV de Piracicaba
0 - 1
Taubaté
TAU
67%
21%
13%
64 53 11 0
27 Apr. 2021
OES
Oeste
1 - 1
XV de Piracicaba
XVD
40%
26%
35%
64 61 3 0
25 Apr. 2021
XVD
XV de Piracicaba
1 - 0
Monte Azul
MON
66%
20%
13%
64 53 11 0
23 Apr. 2021
POR
Portuguesa Santista
1 - 1
XV de Piracicaba
XVD
21%
25%
55%
64 53 11 0

Matches

São Bernardo FC
São Bernardo FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 May. 2021
SAO
São Bernardo FC
1 - 1
Água Santa
AGU
39%
26%
34%
59 60 1 0
29 Apr. 2021
MON
Monte Azul
1 - 1
São Bernardo FC
SAO
31%
27%
42%
59 53 6 0
27 Apr. 2021
SAO
São Bernardo FC
0 - 0
Audax São Paulo
AUD
59%
23%
18%
60 51 9 -1
25 Apr. 2021
OES
Oeste
2 - 1
São Bernardo FC
SAO
49%
25%
26%
60 61 1 0
23 Apr. 2021
SAO
São Bernardo FC
2 - 0
CA Juventus
JUV
60%
23%
17%
60 53 7 0