Cup Paulista . Last 16
Global 3-2
XV de Piracicaba vs Atibaia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
ATI
1 - 1
XVD
24%
25%
51%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
XVD
0 - 1
PRI
77%
16%
6%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
AUD
1 - 2
XVD
21%
24%
56%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
INT
1 - 2
XVD
26%
26%
48%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
XVD
2 - 0
INT
57%
23%
21%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Atibaia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
ATI
1 - 1
XVD
24%
25%
51%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
ATI
1 - 0
VEL
31%
26%
43%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
COM
2 - 0
ATI
45%
26%
29%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
FER
0 - 0
ATI
59%
23%
18%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
ATI
0 - 1
FER
27%
25%
48%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |