XV de Piracicaba vs Atibaia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
18.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
RIO
1 - 2
XVD
38%
27%
36%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
XVD
1 - 0
INT
50%
25%
26%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
NOR
1 - 3
XVD
24%
26%
50%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
XVD
1 - 0
VEL
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2019 |
ATI
1 - 1
XVD
37%
26%
37%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Atibaia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
ATI
0 - 1
VEL
44%
25%
31%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
NOR
2 - 1
ATI
29%
26%
45%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
ATI
0 - 1
RIO
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
INT
1 - 0
ATI
40%
26%
33%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2019 |
ATI
1 - 1
XVD
37%
26%
37%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |