Xerxes DZB vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.7%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
71.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Xerxes DZB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2017 |
XER
0 - 1
SCN
79%
14%
7%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
SCF
4 - 1
XER
63%
20%
17%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
BRI
1 - 3
XER
51%
21%
28%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
XER
2 - 1
ARC
62%
20%
18%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
NOO
0 - 3
XER
47%
24%
30%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2017 |
HEI
0 - 1
EXC
11%
18%
71%
|
66 | 23 | 43 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
ADO
4 - 1
EXC
48%
26%
25%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
EXC
3 - 0
FEY
16%
23%
62%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
NEC
0 - 1
EXC
48%
25%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 0
VIT
27%
25%
48%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +1 |