Xerez CD vs Valencia Mestalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
24.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Xerez CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
CAS
5 - 2
XER
70%
17%
14%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
MLL
2 - 4
XER
71%
16%
13%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
XER
5 - 1
CDB
65%
19%
16%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
GRA
2 - 0
XER
72%
16%
12%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
XER
1 - 1
MUR
64%
19%
17%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1954 |
VAL
1 - 1
UDL
58%
21%
21%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
VAL
1 - 0
CDT
60%
20%
20%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1954 |
VAL
3 - 1
UDE
66%
18%
17%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
MEL
4 - 2
VAL
59%
21%
20%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1954 |
VAL
2 - 3
MAL
44%
23%
32%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |