Wynnum Wolves vs Moreton City Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.3%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
68.5%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
8%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+63%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
2º
12º
5º
48
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
87% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
70.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
70.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wynnum Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
BRI
2 - 3
WYN
80%
12%
8%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
WYN
3 - 2
SUN
14%
16%
70%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
BRR
1 - 1
WYN
74%
15%
11%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
WYN
4 - 3
OLY
11%
15%
74%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | +3 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ROC
1 - 4
WYN
85%
10%
5%
|
12 | 34 | 22 | +2 |
Matches
Moreton City Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
MOR
2 - 4
QUE
34%
24%
43%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
MOR
3 - 1
BRI
56%
20%
24%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
SUN
3 - 5
MOR
33%
22%
45%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
MOR
3 - 2
BRR
74%
15%
11%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
OLY
1 - 1
MOR
33%
22%
45%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |