Chinese Super League Round 27

Wuhan Three Towns vs Henan FC analysis

Wuhan Three Towns Henan FC
72 ELO 70
6.6% Tilt 12.5%
1457º General ELO ranking 1347º
10º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
51.8%
Wuhan Three Towns
24.7%
Draw
23.6%
Henan FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
Wuhan Three Towns
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
23.5%
Win probability
Henan FC
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Wuhan Three Towns
-14%
-3%
Henan FC

Points and table prediction

Wuhan Three Towns
Their league position
Henan FC
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
16º
11º
36
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Shanghái Port
78
78
100%
Shanghai Shenhua
77
77
100%
Chengdu Rongcheng
59
59
100%
Beijing Guoan
56
56
100%
Shandong Taishan
48
48
100%
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
42
42
100%
Zhejiang FC
38
38
100%
Henan FC
36
36
100%
Changchun Yatai
32
32
100%
Qingdao West Coast
10º
32
32
10º
100%
Wuhan Three Towns
11º
31
31
11º
100%
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
13º
29
29
12º
100%
Shenzhen Peng City
14º
29
29
13º
0%
Qingdao Hainiu
12º
29
29
14º
0%
Meizhou Hakka
15º
27
27
15º
100%
Nantong Zhiyun
16º
22
22
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Wuhan Three Towns
Henan FC
AFC Champions League Elite
0% 0%
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
0% 0%
AFC Champions League 2
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Wuhan Three Towns
Henan FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Wuhan Three Towns
Wuhan Three Towns
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Sep. 2024
SHA
Shandong Taishan
0 - 0
Wuhan Three Towns
WFC
66%
19%
15%
71 82 11 0
15 Sep. 2024
QIN
Qingdao Hainiu
1 - 1
Wuhan Three Towns
WFC
26%
25%
49%
72 64 8 -1
16 Aug. 2024
TIT
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1 - 0
Wuhan Three Towns
WFC
41%
25%
33%
72 72 0 0
10 Aug. 2024
CHA
Changchun Yatai
2 - 0
Wuhan Three Towns
WFC
27%
25%
48%
73 65 8 -1
03 Aug. 2024
WFC
Wuhan Three Towns
4 - 1
Shenzhen Peng City
SJF
57%
24%
19%
72 69 3 +1

Matches

Henan FC
Henan FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Sep. 2024
HEN
Henan FC
2 - 0
Chengdu Rongcheng
CBC
21%
26%
53%
69 80 11 0
14 Sep. 2024
TIT
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1 - 0
Henan FC
HEN
50%
26%
25%
70 72 2 -1
21 Aug. 2024
SHA
Shandong Taishan
3 - 1
Henan FC
HEN
77%
15%
9%
70 83 13 0
16 Aug. 2024
HEN
Henan FC
0 - 2
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
SHI
58%
23%
19%
71 60 11 -1
10 Aug. 2024
QIN
Qingdao Hainiu
0 - 2
Henan FC
HEN
32%
27%
41%
71 63 8 0