FA Cup Previa 1

Wroxham vs Dereham Town analysis

Wroxham Dereham Town
27 ELO 29
3.6% Tilt 0.1%
10166º General ELO ranking 11066º
515º Country ELO ranking 607º
ELO win probability
41.9%
Wroxham
24.1%
Draw
34%
Dereham Town

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
Wroxham
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
34%
Win probability
Dereham Town
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO progression

Wroxham
Dereham Town
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Wroxham
Wroxham
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Apr. 2022
WRO
Wroxham
3 - 0
Brantham Athletic
BRA
84%
11%
6%
27 16 11 0
18 Apr. 2022
FAK
Fakenham Town
1 - 4
Wroxham
WRO
28%
22%
50%
26 21 5 +1
16 Apr. 2022
WRO
Wroxham
1 - 1
Ely City
ELY
86%
9%
4%
26 14 12 0
09 Apr. 2022
WRO
Wroxham
2 - 1
Haverhill Rovers
HAV
82%
11%
6%
26 16 10 0
05 Apr. 2022
GOR
Gorleston
1 - 0
Wroxham
WRO
42%
22%
36%
27 25 2 -1

Matches

Dereham Town
Dereham Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Jul. 2022
DER
Dereham Town
0 - 4
Norwich City
NOR
5%
13%
82%
29 77 48 0
23 Apr. 2022
GRE
Great Wakering Rovers
3 - 1
Dereham Town
DER
28%
22%
50%
30 23 7 -1
18 Apr. 2022
DER
Dereham Town
0 - 1
Hullbridge Sports
HUL
61%
20%
19%
31 27 4 -1
16 Apr. 2022
STO
Stowmarket Town
3 - 1
Dereham Town
DER
60%
20%
20%
33 39 6 -2
09 Apr. 2022
DER
Dereham Town
0 - 1
Grays Athletic
GRA
46%
24%
30%
33 35 2 0