Wrexham AFC vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
32%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
BRE
1 - 0
WRE
46%
24%
30%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2004 |
OLD
2 - 3
WRE
57%
23%
21%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
WRE
2 - 1
SWI
36%
26%
38%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
WRE
0 - 2
BHA
39%
27%
34%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
WYC
1 - 1
WRE
46%
25%
30%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
POR
3 - 2
HUL
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2004 |
POR
3 - 2
MKD
62%
21%
17%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
WAL
3 - 2
POR
51%
25%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
RUS
0 - 2
POR
38%
26%
36%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
POR
2 - 1
TRA
39%
26%
35%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |