Wrexham AFC vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
35.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
STF
3 - 0
WRE
51%
26%
24%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2008 |
MKD
4 - 1
WRE
76%
16%
7%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
WRE
1 - 1
MAC
34%
28%
38%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2008 |
MAN
2 - 1
WRE
53%
24%
24%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
BAR
3 - 2
WRE
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
NOT
1 - 0
STA
45%
26%
29%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2008 |
ROC
4 - 2
NOT
71%
19%
10%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
BCF
2 - 1
NOT
60%
24%
16%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
NOT
0 - 0
MAN
47%
27%
26%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2008 |
STF
0 - 0
NOT
52%
26%
22%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |