Worthing vs Hendon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.9%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
66.5%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
WOR
3 - 3
MET
25%
23%
52%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
TOO
4 - 3
WOR
67%
18%
15%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2017 |
WOR
1 - 1
LEA
18%
20%
62%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
WOR
0 - 2
DUL
13%
21%
66%
|
25 | 49 | 24 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2017 |
WOR
1 - 2
KIN
34%
24%
43%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Hendon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2017 |
HEN
1 - 0
NEE
69%
18%
13%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
HEN
2 - 1
TON
57%
23%
20%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
BIL
4 - 3
HEN
59%
21%
20%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
ENF
1 - 0
HEN
42%
24%
35%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
HEN
4 - 0
TOO
60%
20%
20%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |