Worthing vs Folkestone Invicta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
21.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2008 |
TOO
2 - 0
WOR
53%
24%
24%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
WOR
1 - 2
ATK
62%
21%
17%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
WAL
1 - 2
WOR
29%
25%
46%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2008 |
WOR
5 - 1
COR
77%
16%
8%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
WHY
0 - 2
WOR
23%
25%
52%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Folkestone Invicta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
CHI
1 - 0
FOL
24%
24%
52%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
FOL
0 - 1
MAI
47%
24%
29%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2008 |
FOL
0 - 0
HOR
22%
25%
53%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
MAR
4 - 5
FOL
67%
20%
13%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2008 |
FOL
1 - 3
STA
22%
24%
54%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -2 |