Workington vs Chester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
62.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Workington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
WOR
2 - 1
ALT
26%
24%
50%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
WOR
1 - 2
OXF
39%
26%
34%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2013 |
TOW
3 - 1
WOR
59%
22%
19%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
COL
1 - 4
WOR
35%
25%
41%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 2013 |
WOR
0 - 3
GAI
23%
24%
54%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
COR
1 - 2
CHE
21%
22%
58%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
CHE
0 - 0
BRA
62%
21%
17%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
CHE
4 - 1
STA
69%
19%
12%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
HIN
0 - 6
CHE
14%
20%
67%
|
59 | 23 | 36 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2013 |
CHE
2 - 0
OXF
71%
19%
11%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | +1 |