Workington vs 1874 Northwich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.2%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.3%
5.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Workington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
WID
0 - 1
WOR
11%
19%
70%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
WOR
1 - 0
RAM
49%
24%
28%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
WOR
1 - 1
LEE
50%
24%
25%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
TRA
2 - 2
WOR
23%
23%
53%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
WOR
2 - 1
MAR
86%
10%
4%
|
40 | 10 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
1874 Northwich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
187
1 - 1
NEW
47%
22%
31%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
187
0 - 2
MAR
13%
19%
68%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
187
0 - 3
LEE
19%
20%
61%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
LAN
1 - 0
187
64%
19%
17%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
RUN
1 - 0
187
68%
17%
14%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |