Worcester City vs Kettering Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
24.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worcester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
WOR
3 - 1
LAN
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
RUN
2 - 2
WOR
42%
24%
33%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2004 |
HUC
2 - 2
WOR
30%
25%
46%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2004 |
WOR
0 - 0
RFC
55%
23%
23%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 2004 |
WOR
4 - 1
MOO
49%
24%
27%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Kettering Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
WOR
0 - 3
KET
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
KET
1 - 2
MOO
57%
22%
21%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2004 |
BRA
1 - 2
KET
73%
17%
10%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
KET
0 - 1
GAI
28%
24%
48%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2004 |
KET
1 - 0
RED
73%
17%
10%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | +1 |