Wolves vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
17%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
17%
17.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1937 |
BIR
1 - 0
WOL
51%
22%
27%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1937 |
LEE
0 - 1
WOL
47%
23%
30%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1937 |
WOL
3 - 0
LEE
73%
14%
12%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1937 |
WOL
5 - 2
WBA
67%
16%
17%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1937 |
LIV
1 - 0
WOL
51%
22%
27%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1937 |
MID
1 - 3
DER
57%
20%
23%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1937 |
DER
3 - 1
BIR
70%
16%
14%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1937 |
LEE
2 - 0
DER
45%
24%
32%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1937 |
DER
4 - 1
LIV
68%
17%
16%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1937 |
HUR
2 - 0
DER
47%
23%
30%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |