Woking vs Thurrock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
9.5%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Woking
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
EAS
2 - 1
WOK
20%
25%
55%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
WES
0 - 3
WOK
24%
25%
51%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
WOK
2 - 1
WEL
47%
26%
28%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
WOK
4 - 1
DOR
62%
23%
15%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
HAV
3 - 4
WOK
25%
26%
50%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Thurrock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2012 |
EAS
2 - 1
THU
65%
19%
15%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
WHI
3 - 0
THU
65%
19%
16%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
THU
2 - 0
DOR
26%
26%
49%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | +4 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
WES
2 - 2
THU
73%
16%
11%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
THU
0 - 1
SUT
18%
24%
59%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | -1 |