Winterthur vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
49.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
WIN
2 - 1
CHI
70%
19%
11%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
WIN
1 - 0
FCV
43%
25%
32%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2019 |
LAU
0 - 0
WIN
57%
22%
21%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2019 |
WIN
3 - 1
SCH
59%
22%
18%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2019 |
CHI
0 - 2
WIN
20%
23%
58%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
YOB
4 - 2
THU
80%
13%
7%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
BAS
3 - 1
THU
77%
15%
8%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
THU
0 - 2
FCL
40%
26%
35%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
STG
4 - 0
THU
43%
25%
32%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
THU
1 - 1
YOB
16%
20%
64%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | +1 |